Thursday 12 September 2019

B minus or C plus?

Well, the first flurry of fixtures are over and the start to the season has been OK. Nothing startling like our last Championship season when we started with 5 straight wins, but a solid 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from our opening 6 league fixtures (and one Carabao Cup  loss). I know there is little to differ between a C plus and a B minus, but I'm going to award the team a  B minus so far and will attempt to explain myself below.

Results so far this season:-

WIGAN 3 CARDIFF 2

CARDIFF 2 LUTON 1

READING 3 CARDIFF 0

CARDIFF 2 HUDDERFIELD 1

BLACKBURN 0 CARDIFF 0

CARDIFF 0 LUTON 3 (Caraboa Cup)

CARDIFF 1 FULHAM 1

The opening game at Wigan was finally disappointing (especially as Wigan have not won any more league games and only scored one more goal) with a 3-2 defeat after Joe Ralls had given us the lead after 20 minutes. The team still had a bit of a makeshift feel to it, with new signing Aden Flint starting in the centre of defence alongside captain Sean Morrison. Up front, Gary Madine started the game as new signing Robert Glatzel had to serve a one match ban acquired at the end of last season's Bundesliga 2. The team was further disrupted when goalkeeper Neil Etheridge had to go off with a serious hamstring injury after 26 minutes, meaning that new signing Joe Day suddenly had to make his debut for Cardiff. Unfortunately, he was in goal for the 3 Wigan goals but could not be blamed for any of them - the defence seemed to lose a bit of organisation once he left the field.


Joe Ralls - best player of the season so far.

One week later, the team had a much different feel to it against newly promoted Luton Town. At the end of the transfer window deadline we had signed midfielder Marlon Pack from our Severnside rivals Bristol City. Also, Bobby Decordova-Reid had left the club to go to Fulham on an initial loan, with a transfer to be completed for £11.5m at the end of the season. Pack immediately took his place in from of the back 4 previously occupied by Aron Gunnarsson last season and looked at home. The newly promoted Luton team had some good individuals but eventually the pressure told and we got a deserved win from a  stoppage time winner from Isaac Vassell, another player signed (from Birmingham City) on Transfer deadline day. A deserved win if a little late in coming.

Isaac Vassell heads a late winner against Luton

The following away game at Reading was an awful experience, captured live on Sky TV. On reflection, the game seemed to be going well until Marlon Pack went off injured in the 23rd minute. Reading had a couple of new signings who looked to be very useful acquisitions and caused the defence problems for the rest of the game. Leandro Bacuna had started at right back but was moved into central midfield, and new signing Curtis Nelson then had to play at right back. Although this was a poor performance, I think we may ultimately find that this is quite a good Reading team who are much improved on recent seasons.

The home win against Huddersfield was more comfortable than the scoreline suggests, with one moment of individual brilliance supplying their goal, but it could't disguise that Huddersfield looked rather lost and may struggle this season. The appointment of Danny Cowley as their manager this week may well help their season.

An away point at Blackburn provide the team with their first clean sheet of the season, although reports suggest that this was a game we should have won if we had taken the chances created.

A midweek loss in the Caraboa Cup to Luton was once again disappointing, but a side made up almost entirely of fringe squad players and members of the under 23 team shows what Neil Warnock thinks about the EFL cup.

Josh Murphy scores against Fulham.

The final game before the International break was at home to Fulham, relegated (below) with us from the Premier League last season. It is the performance in this game which made me feel that the team is worthy of a B minus instead of a C plus. Fulham are one of the favourites to get promoted back to the Premier League this year, and yet we easily matched them during the game. But for one momentary lapse in concentration, we would have won this game. Fulham tried to play lots of pretty football but mostly with no end product. Indeed ,  in the second half they barely got a shot at the Cardiff goal. The sending off of Harry Arter, a Cardiff hero from last season, should have meant a Cardiff win but ultimately a draw against one of our main rivals is acceptable. Considering we were missing a number of key players, this was a  good performance and very encouraging.

HOT OR NOT? PLAYERS WORTHY OF A MENTION.

JOE RALLS: Has easily been the most consistent player this season and playing as well as ever. The season in the Premier League seems to have improved his game.

ROBERT GLATZEL: The tall and lanky German striker is undoubtedly talented and quite a handful, but the disruptions in midfield have meant that he has had limited goal scoring opportunities. The jury is still out on him.

LEANDRO BACUNA: Finally starting to win people around despite being made the scapegoat for poor team performances by a minority of disgruntled fans. Bacuna isn't a flashy player, but does a lot of the midfield ball winning and tackling. His extended run in the team following the injury to Marlon Pack is definitely improving his game (and popularity).

Marlon Pack.

MARLON PACK: This was a surprise signing just before the transfer deadline. Still only 28, he has been admired at local rivals Bristol City for a few years and we were really surprised that they let him go. Unfortunately injured for a couple more weeks, he could be a major influence if the  team is going to be successful this season.

LEE TOMLIN: It has been well publicised that Tomlin is in the best physical shape he has been in for a number of years. Has basically forced Warnock to give him another chance, and the departure of Bobby Decordova-Reid to Fulham has given him that chance too. When at his best, his passing and creativity can't be equalled in our squad. A very good performance against Huddersfield, where you could see his confidence increasing in from top your eyes suggests that he could be a really key player this year after 2 years of invisibility.
Lee Tomlin is now slimmer than this!

ONWARDS:

The international break ends this weekend, and we have the privilege(?) of being in the first game back with a Friday night fixture at Derby County (live on TV again). Hopefully, this will be better than our last TV match at Derby where we lost 3-1 late on in our promotion season. I'm a natural optimist, and so I'm not yet downhearted about this season. Onwards and upwards!


Friday 2 August 2019

Same Again? Season Preview 2019-20.

It's that time of year again. The excitement is building, and just 12 weeks after the last season ended (less for the big teams), then the football season is here once again! Despite the Cricket World Cup, The Open Golf, Wimbledon, etc etc etc, all football fans have been aware of something missing in their lives since the end of May (especially as there was no major international tournament this year). But football is back with the first game of the Bluebirds' season at Wigan just a day away.

We all really wish we could be having another season in the Premier League, but unfortunately we just missed the chance to stay up with the big teams. So its another season back in the topsy-turvy world of the Championship. I feel that I should point out to my American friends here just how big the Championship has become, as despite being the second level of the English football pyramid, it is now the 4th most watched league in Europe , and probably one of the most competitive in the world. Out of the 24 teams in the league this year, there are probably only a handful that you might say are incapable of gaining promotion to the Premier League, and equally there are few teams that you might rule out as being incapable of relegation!

INS AND OUTS - the outs

There has been the usual turnover of players to the Bluebirds' first team squad during the closed season. The outs include the enigmatic Kenneth Zohore to West Bromwich Albion. I saw a quote about him recently which summed him up completely when they said that he would be remembered "as a scorer of great goals rather than as a great goalscorer". He is only 24 and may yet become a big star, but if the reported £8m fee paid by West Brom is true then that was too good an offer to turn down - its about twice what he's worth in my opinion.

A further departure was Bruno Ecuele Manga. Bruno will be remembered as a classy footballer who exuded a great level of calm. It was quite widely stated that Bruno wanted to return with his family to France and has a transfer to Dijon in Ligue 1. Like all defenders he had the odd mistake in him, and he was clearly a better centre back than right back where he played a lot of his football over the last 2 seasons, but most fans will look back fondly on his time here and he owes us nothing.


Bruno Ecuele Manga - fondly remembered by all.

Another major departure was Aron Gunnarsson, who had agreed to a one season extension to his contract for another season in the Premier League. Another player who will be fondly remembered by fans and will be remembered as a club legend. He has gone to play in Qatar for a very lucrative contract.

And the final departure of note was Kadeem Harris who never quite seemed to be good enough to have a regular place in the team despite showing lots of promise. Another player who may yet come good, following him signing for Championship rivals Sheffield Wednesday.

With 7 days to go until the transfer window closes, it is likely that more players will leave.

INS AND OUTS - the ins

There have been 5 confirmed first team squad signings in the closed season and the possibility of a 6th to finally be confirmed today.

Joe Day. A successful season last year at our League 2 neighbours Newport County has resulted in Joe moving to our club. However, I don't think he's been signed to be a third choice keeper and I'm pretty sure one of our 2 senior keepers will be moving on. At first this looked like it might be Neil Etheridge returning to the Premier League at Aston Villa but as I compose this blog that deal is off, and so I think it likely that second choice keeps Alex Smithies may move on in search of regular first team football. 

Will Vaulks. Signed from Rotherham where he was a stand out player in a struggling team last season. Already a full Wales international, he certainly didn't look out of his depth when playing for Wales and so I see no reason why he shouldn't do well in a stronger Championship team.

Curtis Nelson. The first of two players signed from Oxford. A central defender or central midfield player who may yet be one of Warnock's excellent signings from the lower leagues. will be needed to provide cover while Sol Bamba returns from injury but may be the future of the club. May yet fill the defensive midfield role previously occupied by Aron Gunnarsson.
Curtis Nelson.

Aden Flint. Bought after only one season at Middlesborough despite considerable EFL experience. Did very well in a couple of seasons at our close rivals Bristol City. Tall, imposing defender who will also have a vital role to play with Sol Bamba missing in the early part of the season

Gavin Whyte. The second player signed from Oxford in League 1. A Northern Ireland international, at the age of 23 his career has been a continual climb, with this being the next logical step. Basically a winger, but played up front as a striker for Oxford in one game last season and scored a hat trick!


Gavin Whyte celebrates a goal for Northern Ireland

Robert Glatzel. Almost completely unknown in this country as he has been developing his game in the Bundesliga 2 for Heidenheim ( amongst others). 17 goals in 29 games for Heidenheim last season is a good return for the 6'4" striker - lets hope he can do it at Championship level. He is rumoured to have been Neil Warnock's number 1 target . Unfortunately, Glatzel will not be available for the season opening game against Luton as he has to finish a 2 match ban following a sending off for Heidenheim at the end of last season.  


Could he be a 20 goal striker?

Can we bounce straight back?

That's the big question. The simple answer is that Yes, we can! But this is the Championship, probably the most competitive and evenly matched League in Europe. We appear to have a better squad than when we got promoted 2 years ago - but this was the  case the last time we were relegated from the Premier League and that didn't work out at all.  I think we are good enough to go back up, and we clearly have a manager who knows all about promotion to the top level. 

The Neil Warnock factor!

But although it appears we have a good chance, the problem is that there are many other teams who will also fancy their chances. Teams such as West Bromwich and Stoke are almost certainly going to be better this year. Fulham continue to invest heavily, and Leeds United are also expected to do well this season after narrowly missing out last year. In addition to these teams, there is nearly always an unexpected team which comes from nowhere to claim promotion. In fact, last season you could argue that both Norwich and Sheffield United were unexpectedly promoted. I think Brentford might fall into that category this season. So here are my top 6 predictions for this season:-

Cardiff
Stoke
West Bromwich Albion
Brentford
Fulham
Bristol City

But I could be wrong! That's what makes the new season so exciting! A Happy New Season to football fans everywhere!